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Texas Economic Forecast 2016-17

Texas Economy Detail
Fiscal Years 1991—2046

Download Data (CSV)

Year 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046
Texas Exports (Millions of Dollars) 41,450.00 44,530.00 46,260.00 52,390.00 60,510.00 65,320.00 73,910.00 79,358.50 79,377.70 100,062.40 99,570.20 93,552.30 97,487.50 112,663.10 126,250.40 144,087.40 164,291.30 192,372.50 161,249.80 195,980.60 242,377.10 261,978.20 272,200.00 293,900.00 264,100.00 233,705.00 249,830.00 262,233.90 276,616.30 294,165.60 311,297.40 327,540.60 344,291.00 361,915.10 380,213.00 399,002.90 418,692.30 441,330.60 466,050.40 490,918.40 516,919.20 544,822.80 571,994.60 600,209.10 630,411.40 662,669.80 696,178.80 729,603.70 765,995.70 803,382.70 840,962.40 881,480.60 923,362.70 967,818.00 1,013,913.90 1,061,363.10
ENERGY AND MINING
Oil Production (Millions of Barrels) 644.8 620.5 585.3 557.4 525 506 492.9 480.9 422.4 406.8 388.5 371.6 361.2 355.1 350.1 347.2 344.1 348.1 351.6 353 400 535.7 708.3 893.1 1,079.50 1,037.90 1,057.40 1,137.70 1,194.00 1,245.90 1,284.20 1,320.10 1,350.90 1,381.10 1,399.80 1,419.00 1,435.30 1,453.00 1,460.70 1,470.50 1,473.80 1,459.20 1,428.50 1,393.40 1,347.50 1,293.00 1,230.00 1,176.60 1,128.50 1,088.10 1,045.90 1,010.30 978 951.2 921.8 897.2
Natural Gas Production (Millions of Mcf) 5,337.60 5,005.70 4,814.50 4,927.70 4,972.20 5,026.10 5,085.80 5,135.00 5,086.40 5,123.20 5,235.00 5,156.50 5,137.00 5,106.20 5,130.90 5,381.40 5,808.60 6,503.90 6,847.50 6,733.90 6,887.90 7,274.00 7,539.30 7,796.70 7,927.20 7,501.80 6,974.00 6,634.80 6,671.60 6,687.70 6,676.70 6,676.60 6,676.10 6,688.60 6,675.40 6,675.30 6,675.20 6,688.10 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,688.00 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,688.00 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,688.00 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,688.00 6,675.10 6,675.10
Average Taxable Oil Price (Dollars/Barrel) $25.42 $20.91 $20.13 $16.86 $18.27 $19.60 $22.27 $17.13 $14.95 $26.70 $29.76 $23.74 $30.11 $34.56 $50.31 $65.63 $63.45 $101.93 $64.09 $76.32 $91.25 $94.28 $93.65 $101.05 $64.94 $41.40 $48.77 $50.00 $53.00 $54.85 $56.06 $57.23 $58.84 $61.07 $64.20 $68.51 $72.59 $75.59 $77.74 $79.27 $80.35 $81.11 $81.64 $82.01 $82.27 $82.45 $82.58 $82.66 $82.72 $82.76 $82.79 $82.81 $82.83 $82.84 $82.84 $82.85
Average Taxable Natural Gas Price (Dollars/Mcf) n/a n/a n/a n/a $1.66 $2.11 $2.43 $2.47 $2.05 $2.86 $5.41 $2.84 $4.80 $5.55 $6.57 $9.28 $7.06 $8.47 $5.91 $4.43 $4.20 $3.10 $3.48 $4.18 $3.34 $2.30 $3.00 $3.00 $2.90 $2.80 $2.82 $2.87 $2.97 $3.02 $3.16 $3.22 $3.24 $3.24 $3.25 $3.25 $3.26 $3.27 $3.27 $3.28 $3.29 $3.29 $3.30 $3.31 $3.31 $3.32 $3.33 $3.33 $3.34 $3.35 $3.35 $3.36
Rig Count 340 246 264 275 257 271 338 338 213 312 459 353 419 491 581 717 812 892 544 585 793 915 848 856 656 275 351 417 428 431 435 444 459 475 486 487 488 490 489 490 490 491 491 491 491 492 491 491 491 492 491 491 491 492 491 493
Construction
Total Housing Starts (Thousands) 51.6 69.2 81.5 105.9 108.5 121 127.6 151.7 152.9 142.3 147.4 159 169.2 181.4 189.7 213.4 175.5 140.9 87 86.3 87.2 114.4 135.6 155.3 166.2 165.7 167.7 186.7 202.6 209.7 215.4 219.6 221.9 221.9 222.2 221.8 220.7 216 216.3 222.3 226.1 223.9 224.1 231.7 239.8 245.7 247.2 248.3 247.5 248.8 252.2 253.7 256.7 261.6 266.9 272.1
Single-Family (Thousands) 44.7 59.3 71.3 81.4 76.9 92.6 87.5 104 109.9 110.8 118.8 123.3 133.2 146.9 157.8 175.9 134.6 92.8 64.5 73 64.7 77.7 87.3 97.4 108.8 108.8 116.2 126.1 133.9 136.5 138.7 140.2 142.2 142.9 143.4 143.3 141.5 136.8 136 141.1 144.2 140.8 139.8 145.8 152.1 156.9 158 159.2 159 160.1 163.3 163.5 165.4 169.7 174.7 179.2
Multi-Family (Thousands) 6.9 9.9 10.2 24.5 31.5 28.4 40.1 47.7 43 31.5 28.6 35.6 36 34.4 31.9 37.5 40.9 48.1 22.5 13.4 22.5 36.7 48.3 57.9 57.5 56.9 51.5 60.6 68.8 73.2 76.7 79.4 79.7 79 78.8 78.6 79.2 79.2 80.2 81.2 81.9 83.1 84.3 85.9 87.7 88.8 89.2 89.1 88.6 88.7 88.9 90.2 91.2 91.9 92.2 92.8
RETAIL SALES (TAXABLE)
Total Automobile Sales (Thousands) 887.3 921.6 903.7 1,029.90 1,039.30 1,215.50 1,118.40 1,189.10 1,284.00 1,406.00 1,372.00 1,430.60 1,302.70 1,247.30 1,285.30 1,283.60 1,365.50 1,272.20 878.7 887.1 993.6 1,208.20 1,423.30 1,514.00 1,574.40 1,570.30 1,499.30 1,640.90 1,619.10 1,591.40 1,605.40 1,672.20 1,759.70 1,729.00 1,688.10 1,715.60 1,711.70 1,721.50 1,736.20 1,734.90 1,737.60 1,744.60 1,750.30 1,762.30 1,774.00 1,780.60 1,787.30 1,792.60 1,797.90 1,803.60 1,806.10 1,809.80 1,829.70 1,842.10 1,853.50 1,866.30
Cars (Thousands) 367 409.6 422.4 486.4 500.4 592.5 573.3 643.1 713 801.5 810.2 867.2 797.7 780.2 781.4 744.5 814.9 704.8 485.2 512.1 578.2 691 798.1 869.6 936.6 977.7 987.8 1,074.30 1,075.90 1,069.80 1,085.20 1,138.00 1,191.20 1,154.20 1,124.50 1,139.50 1,130.60 1,132.20 1,138.60 1,135.30 1,133.00 1,135.00 1,136.20 1,140.80 1,148.20 1,152.80 1,153.10 1,152.10 1,151.50 1,151.40 1,149.50 1,149.60 1,163.90 1,173.10 1,182.40 1,193.30
Trucks (Thousands) 520.3 512 481.3 543.5 538.9 623 545.2 546 571 604.6 561.8 563.4 504.9 467.1 503.9 539.1 550.7 567.4 393.5 375.1 415.5 517.2 625.2 644.3 637.8 592.7 511.6 566.6 543.2 521.6 520.2 534.2 568.5 574.7 563.7 576.2 581.2 589.2 597.6 599.6 604.5 609.6 614.1 621.4 625.8 627.8 634.2 640.5 646.4 652.2 656.6 660.2 665.8 669.1 671.1 673.1
Retail Sales, Excluding Automobiles (Taxable, Millions of Dollars) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 125,937 133,521 140,905 144,592 146,931 150,841 159,787 173,154 188,177 197,423 203,722 196,715 200,048 211,443 222,082 230,331 242,519 254,120 262,764 274,157 288,066 302,575 318,683 335,762 353,427 370,701 387,734 405,210 424,483 445,547 467,478 487,768 507,746 529,255 551,783 575,640 602,056 630,095 659,078 689,078 720,888 754,002 788,438 824,873 862,683 902,126 943,882 988,213 1,035,968

Source: Glenn Hegar, Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts, Fall 2017 Forecast.