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Texas Economic Forecast 2016-17

Texas Economy Detail
Calendar Years 1990—2046

Download Data (CSV)

Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046
Texas Exports (Millions of Dollars) 37,404 42,518 45,135 47,211 54,229 62,221 66,883 76,192 78,878 83,190 103,909 95,054 95,491 98,934 117,375 129,232 150,749 168,069 192,147 162,919 206,910 250,224 265,352 279,695 289,023 251,087 232,588 260,499 273,432 288,429 306,727 324,591 341,528 358,993 377,370 396,449 416,042 436,572 460,177 485,952 511,882 538,993 568,089 596,421 625,840 657,332 690,968 725,908 760,760 798,706 837,690 876,874 919,123 962,793 1,009,147 1,057,211 1,106,687
ENERGY AND MINING
Oil Production (Millions of Barrels) 639.7 642.3 612.4 576.4 542.1 513.9 493.9 479.7 448.2 394.3 398.3 381.4 362.9 358.8 349.4 348.5 345.6 341.1 347.7 349 370.6 458.2 627.9 816 1,030.50 1,121.60 1,038.30 1,097.90 1,162.30 1,215.20 1,264.10 1,299.90 1,333.60 1,362.50 1,391.00 1,408.20 1,426.10 1,441.30 1,458.10 1,465.00 1,474.10 1,467.70 1,448.90 1,415.00 1,375.60 1,324.50 1,267.30 1,206.90 1,155.80 1,109.80 1,071.20 1,030.60 996.4 965.3 939.6 911.2 887.6
Natural Gas Production (Millions of Mcf) 5,398.70 5,276.60 4,734.70 4,894.30 4,961.10 4,983.40 5,068.90 5,102.80 5,167.20 5,005.60 5,240.90 5,229.10 5,084.00 5,190.00 5,022.40 5,239.50 5,523.20 6,094.00 6,913.90 6,781.20 6,686.70 7,089.10 7,459.00 7,619.60 7,973.80 7,808.10 7,128.30 6,778.40 6,642.30 6,672.50 6,689.10 6,676.80 6,676.30 6,675.80 6,688.50 6,675.30 6,675.20 6,675.20 6,688.10 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,688.00 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,688.00 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,688.00 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,675.10 6,688.00 6,675.10 6,675.10
Average Taxable Oil Price (Dollars/Barrel) $24.50 $21.46 $20.57 $18.48 $17.18 $18.40 $22.01 $20.61 $14.43 $19.24 $30.20 $25.90 $26.08 $31.04 $41.40 $56.56 $66.22 $72.31 $99.65 $61.80 $79.53 $95.12 $94.21 $97.97 $93.00 $48.79 $42.40 $48.92 $50.16 $53.17 $55.02 $56.24 $57.42 $59.03 $61.26 $64.41 $68.72 $72.82 $75.83 $77.99 $79.52 $80.61 $81.37 $81.90 $82.27 $82.53 $82.71 $82.84 $82.92 $82.98 $83.02 $83.05 $83.07 $83.09 $83.10 $83.10 $83.11
Average Taxable Natural Gas Price (Dollars/Mcf) NA NA NA NA $1.95 $1.69 $2.51 $2.47 $2.16 $2.31 $4.31 $4.03 $3.36 $5.50 $6.19 $9.00 $6.99 $7.12 $8.90 $4.16 $4.40 $4.03 $2.82 $3.73 $4.28 $2.63 $2.55 $3.25 $2.97 $2.84 $2.80 $2.83 $2.92 $2.99 $3.08 $3.20 $3.23 $3.24 $3.24 $3.25 $3.26 $3.26 $3.27 $3.28 $3.28 $3.29 $3.30 $3.30 $3.31 $3.32 $3.32 $3.33 $3.34 $3.34 $3.35 $3.36 $3.36
Rig Count 348 315 250 263 274 251 283 357 303 226 341 462 339 449 506 613 745 834 898 432 659 838 899 834 882 430 236 421 420 429 432 438 449 466 481 489 490 491 493 492 493 493 494 493 493 493 495 494 494 494 495 494 494 494 495 494 493
CONSTRUCTION
Total Housing Starts (Thousands) 52.6 56.4 71.7 86.5 109.6 110.1 122.3 131.8 157.3 147.2 143.1 147.9 162.6 176.4 178.5 199.2 207.2 167.8 126.5 81.5 85.2 93.9 123.4 138.8 156.9 169.6 163.1 170.6 193.2 204.7 211 216.6 220.5 221.9 222 222.1 221.8 219.7 215.2 217.5 224 225.9 223 225.9 233.5 242 246 247.8 248.2 247.3 249.8 252.5 254.5 257.7 262.8 268.3 273.2
Single-Family (Thousands) 43.9 47.6 62.6 74.9 80.5 79.8 91.9 89.3 109.9 107.8 112.3 118.8 126.9 138.1 145.9 166.5 167.9 123.9 82.3 67.4 70.4 66 81.3 89.7 101.7 108.5 110.2 117.1 129.5 134.6 137 139.1 140.7 142.4 143.1 143.5 143 140.6 135.7 137.1 142.5 143.7 139.6 141.2 147.2 153.9 157.2 158.5 159.3 158.8 161.1 163.4 163.7 166.4 170.9 175.9 180.2
Multi-Family (Thousands) 8.7 8.7 9.1 11.7 29.2 30.3 30.4 42.5 47.4 39.5 30.8 29.1 35.7 38.3 32.6 32.7 39.3 43.9 44.2 14.1 14.7 27.9 42.1 49.1 55.3 61.1 52.9 53.5 63.7 70.1 74 77.5 79.8 79.5 79 78.6 78.8 79.1 79.5 80.4 81.5 82.1 83.4 84.7 86.3 88.1 88.8 89.3 89 88.5 88.7 89.1 90.8 91.3 91.9 92.4 93
RETAIL SALES (TAXABLE)
Total Automobile Sales (Thousands) 960.8 877.6 889.2 941.5 1,019.30 1,127.40 1,166.50 1,144.30 1,212.70 1,284.80 1,414.80 1,451.70 1,357.20 1,276.80 1,252.30 1,275.70 1,296.20 1,388.90 1,176.20 850.6 916.7 1,025.00 1,276.80 1,421.20 1,572.70 1,587.30 1,551.20 1,512.20 1,636.10 1,615.30 1,587.70 1,615.50 1,698.20 1,764.90 1,712.00 1,691.60 1,719.10 1,710.60 1,726.20 1,737.40 1,733.10 1,740.60 1,745.80 1,752.80 1,766.20 1,775.10 1,782.50 1,788.90 1,793.90 1,799.20 1,804.80 1,806.00 1,814.20 1,833.80 1,844.40 1,857.30 1,868.20
Cars (Thousands) 565.4 509.1 484.7 500.5 539 586.3 585.7 552.4 547.9 569 603.6 587.6 535.4 486.2 469.2 514.9 536.3 565 532.5 384.9 378.1 424.3 562.2 618.1 663.6 631.3 572.6 512.6 562.4 537.3 518.3 523 540.6 575.3 570.9 565.3 579.1 580.8 592.7 598.8 599.2 607.1 610.5 615.6 623.8 625.1 629.6 635.8 641.9 647.9 653.4 657.5 661.4 667 669.6 671.6 673.6
Trucks (Thousands) 395.3 368.5 404.5 441 480.3 541.2 580.8 591.9 664.9 715.8 811.2 864.1 821.8 790.7 783.1 760.8 760 823.8 643.7 465.7 538.5 600.7 714.6 803.1 909.1 956 978.5 999.6 1,073.60 1,078.00 1,069.40 1,092.60 1,157.60 1,189.60 1,141.10 1,126.20 1,140.00 1,129.80 1,133.50 1,138.60 1,133.90 1,133.50 1,135.20 1,137.30 1,142.40 1,149.90 1,153.00 1,153.10 1,151.90 1,151.30 1,151.40 1,148.50 1,152.80 1,166.80 1,174.90 1,185.70 1,194.70
Retail Sales, Excluding Automobiles (Taxable, Millions of Dollars) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 121,746 127,636 135,645 142,238 145,077 147,469 152,824 162,530 177,187 190,831 199,511 202,674 196,471 202,267 214,642 224,022 232,816 246,389 255,947 265,120 277,696 291,566 306,468 322,892 340,124 357,793 374,967 392,031 409,817 429,601 451,066 472,727 492,639 512,975 534,788 557,606 582,012 608,947 637,284 666,424 696,857 729,078 762,459 797,315 834,265 872,341 912,350 954,678 999,828 1,048,585

Source: Glenn Hegar, Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts, Fall 2017 Forecast.